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WEATHER OUTLOOK

 2013-2014

 


brought to you by ZARDOZ NOTwax, & SUPER Z   ... SNOW SLOW AND STICKY  ?? YOU NEED THE ZARDOZ EFFECT

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South Central PA area

Liberty, Roundtop, Whitetail

THE BLOG HAS THE CURRENT WEATHER INFO

 

What is Known

as of 10-27-2013  Update 2/28/14

 

Earlier predictions had the ENSO going El Nino, but new data show neutral to almost El Nino.  Neutral

 

NAO predicted to be 65% negative. This will hold cold and slow up snow storms giving more accumulation. Wrong stayed Positive 90%

 

Predictions of 1 to 3 degrees colder than normal for Dec - FEB.  BINGO got 3 degrees colder.

 

No Drought in MD, PA, WV, VA. Co and Utah OK

Above Normal Snowfall

Things to watch.  ENSO, PNA, AO,NAO , SUN

 

 

NOW

NAO - North Atlantic Oscillation -   90% Positive

AO - Arctic Oscillation -     Positive

EL Nino / LA Nina -  Neutral 

Sun Spot Activity Sunspots are down to 100 year lows

 

Reference Normal temps >>

 Nov  55H 36L   Dec 45H 28L   Jan 40H 23L  Feb 41H 21L  Mar 47H 29L

 

WEATHER EDUCATION

Weather Education

Maryland Winters 18th century forward

 

Data suggests conditions rating over the 14 data years

33%  BEST  

44%  Better

22%  Fair

 

WEATHER TOOLS

 

What kind of snow storms are there in the Mid-Atlantic Area?

Alberta Clipper - 6 inches or less

Nor'Easter   6 inches or more

 

REAL TIME

 

Freshymap.com

National Weather Service 

 ACCUWEATHER

Weather Channel

 

Road and Weather Impact

Short Range

 

COMPUTER MODELS

Model Analyses and Guidance

DGEX

Navy NOGAPS

Japanese and Canadian Models

ECM, JMA, GEM

 

Canada -

 

Meteograms

 

Computer Weather Models Education

COMET Understanding NWP Models and Their Processes DL Course

Free, but you have to register


 

CLIMATE OUTLOOK

6-10 day trending

 

CPC/NOAA

Jet Stream Analysis

LONG RANGE CLIMATE OUTLOOK

Climate Prediction Center -

Forecasts & Outlook Maps, Graphs and Tables

 

SNOW / ICE 

ANALYSIS /FORECAST

 

National Snow Analyses

Snow Probability Forecasts

 

NE USA  Snow  Forecast 36-48 Hours

Interactive GIS Snow Cover (measure depth of snow)

 

SNOWMAKING -

How Roundtop Makes Snow

Good enough for the Olympics

Snowmaking 101

 

 


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SAFETY FIRST - Live to ski/ride another day, Keep the HEADLIGHTS on while driving! Be Seen

 

ęCopyright 1997 - 2014 William E. Fowler III Ed Fowler E-mail Owings Mills, Maryland
Last updated on 02/27/2014          
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